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Dollar slides to 101.25 as US midterm election results point to House shift


The US dollar traded broadly lower during Wednesday's early Asian session as early midterm election returns indicated potential Democratic gains in Congress. The US Dollar Index dropped 0.61% to 101.25, while the euro climbed back above 1.1250.

⚡ Key numbers:

  • 101.25 — US Dollar Index (DXY) level following a 0.61% decline
  • 1.1251 — EUR/USD exchange rate after advancing 0.53%
  • 7,569 — S&P 500 closing level on Tuesday, up 0.36%
  • 3,930 dollars — spot gold price per ounce in early Asian trade

Early midterm tallies push the US dollar index lower

Financial markets reacted swiftly as the earliest vote counts rolled in overnight. As reported by FXStreet, the US Dollar Index broke below the 101.50 support zone to touch 101.25 points as traders digested early signals of seat turnover in the House of Representatives.

Ahead of the vote, nonpartisan analysts and polling averages indicated that Democrats held an advantage to capture the House majority, while control of the Senate remained on a knife-edge. Institutional investors are watching whether a divided government will curb major fiscal legislation.

Traders track key races and potential political gridlock

Scrutiny quickly centered on key battlegrounds, where investors monitor Apple earnings and US midterm elections along with local tallies like the Clark County election results for clues on western Senate contests. According to Commerzbank analysis, closely contested states may require several days before full outcomes become clear.

Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at forex.com, noted that a Democratic clean sweep could weigh on the greenback by complicating measures related to the debt ceiling. At the same time, gold drifted near $3,930 per ounce, having faced pressure from elevated Treasury yields and persistent Middle East tensions.

Chart: US Dollar Index (DXY) (points), past month
US Dollar Index (DXY) — past month. Data: Yahoo Finance.

Major currency pairs and equity benchmarks advance

The pullback in the greenback provided immediate breathing space for major currency pairs. The EUR/USD rose 0.53% to 1.1251, while the British pound pushed to its strongest levels since mid-September.

Asian currencies experienced mixed trading, with regional units advancing against the dollar while the Chinese yuan softened following moves by the People's Bank of China. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 finished Tuesday up 0.36% at 7,569 points, supported by gains in technology shares.

What to watch next

  • Vote tabulation in crucial western and swing districts
  • US Treasury yield movements as congressional majorities take shape
  • Official statements from party leadership regarding contested outcomes

Frequently asked questions

How are the midterm election results affecting the US dollar?

The US dollar weakened as early tallies suggested Democrats could take control of the House of Representatives, a split-government scenario that analysts note typically creates legislative gridlock.

Why do tallies like the Clark County election results take time to conclude?

As reported by MarketWatch and Commerzbank, close margins and mail-in ballot processing in key districts often extend counting across several days or weeks.

Where are EUR/USD and the Dollar Index trading now?

EUR/USD trades at 1.1251, up 0.53%, while the Dollar Index (DXY) sits at 101.25 points after declining 0.61%.


Sources: FXStreet, Comparic, MarketWatch, Business Insider Polska, Yahoo Finance.

Disclaimer: This article is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 06:05 may vary by source. Trading leveraged CFDs carries a high risk of losing money.

About the author

Albert Czajkowski — Founder of the portal, editor and the person responsible for its development. Associated with the Forex world since 2013, also as an individual trader.

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